Symptom explainers — month by month

Full catalog: every US Pfizer/Moderna preferred term with a ≥ 30 at each cumulative month from Jan 2021 through 2022-12 (symptom × brand × month — over 100,000 rows). Links use ?month=. Prefer the faster Dec 2022 snapshot when you do not need earlier months.

Column legend
Reports (a)
Observed count of this preferred term for the brand through the month (cumulative).
E (MGPS)
Age/sex-stratified expected count under MGPS (Mantel–Haenszel).
E (RGPS)
Regression-adjusted expected count under RGPS (accounts for product masking).
PRR
Proportional Reporting Ratio — unstratified [a/(a+b)] / [c/(c+d)].
EBGM
MGPS score: Empirical Bayes Geometric Mean of a / E(MGPS) after shrinkage.
EB05
5th percentile of the MGPS posterior (lower credible bound for EBGM).
ERAM
RGPS score: Empirical Bayes Arithmetic Mean of a / E(RGPS) after shrinkage.
ER05
5th percentile of the RGPS posterior (lower credible bound for ERAM).
Masking
How much RGPS raises the score over MGPS: ERAM/EBGM − 1 (shown as %).
Predictors
Number of other vaccine products selected as RGPS masking predictors for this PT.

Full walkthrough: MGPS vs RGPS.

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